Dialogue
With lower than ten days remaining, assume you’re the supervisor of one of the three campaigns (Democrat, Republican, or impartial). You notice that your assets are restricted and need to know the 5 states and 5 congressional districts it’s best to put extra assets in and the 5 states and 5 congressional districts the place it’s best to keep away from spending your time and assets. As a diligent Regis College economics pupil, you notice you may use the FiveThirtyEight elasticity scores. And also you rapidly pull up the elasticities beneath. Although they’re for 2018, you determine to make use of them as tips. Reply the following questions.
What is the definition of FiveThirtyEight Elasticity scores?
How will you use them to allocate your assets?
Select the 5 states and, utilizing the elasticity scores determine whether or not it’s best to put extra effort into altering the political setting and why. Additionally, focus on the states you wouldn’t put effort into and why.
How do these elasticities relate to the class materials?
Elasticity scores by state
Up to date for 2018
STATE ELASTICITY SCORE STATE ELASTICITY SCORE
Alaska 1.16 Illinois 1.01
Rhode Island 1.15 Arkansas 1.00
New Hampshire 1.15 Pennsylvania 1.00
Massachusetts 1.15 Oregon 1.00
Maine 1.13 Kansas 1.00
Vermont 1.12 Washington 1.00
Idaho 1.12 Indiana zero.99
Wyoming 1.08 Connecticut zero.99
Nevada 1.08 Tennessee zero.98
Iowa 1.08 North Carolina zero.98
Wisconsin 1.07 North Dakota zero.98
Colorado 1.07 New York zero.97
Hawaii 1.07 South Carolina zero.97
Montana 1.07 Maryland zero.96
Michigan 1.07 Louisiana zero.96
Utah 1.06 Missouri zero.95
Arizona 1.05 Virginia zero.94
West Virginia 1.04 California zero.94
Texas 1.03 Oklahoma zero.94
Florida 1.03 Kentucky zero.94
Minnesota 1.03 Delaware zero.93
Ohio 1.02 Mississippi zero.92
New Mexico 1.02 Georgia zero.90
South Dakota 1.01 Alabama zero.89
Nebraska 1.01 Washington, D.C. zero.80
New Jersey 1.01
Elasticity rating by congressional district
The 25 most and least elastic Home districts in 2018
Most elastic Least elastic
DISTRICT ELASTICITY DISTRICT ELASTICITY
Michigan fifth 1.24 California fifth zero.83
Illinois eighth 1.22 Illinois 1st zero.83
Nevada 4th 1.22 New York seventh zero.82
Massachusetts 1st 1.22 Virginia eighth zero.82
Massachusetts sixth 1.21 California 15th zero.82
Massachusetts 2nd 1.21 California 28th zero.82
New York 21st 1.21 Georgia 10th zero.81
Florida 26th 1.20 Georgia 13th zero.81
Massachusetts ninth 1.20 Washington seventh zero.81
Florida 25th 1.20 California 37th zero.81
Minnesota seventh 1.19 Mississippi third zero.80
New Hampshire 1st 1.19 New York ninth zero.80
Massachusetts 4th 1.18 New York fifth zero.79
California 26th 1.18 California 44th zero.79
Massachusetts third 1.18 California 13th zero.79
Rhode Island 1st 1.17 Alabama third zero.79
Illinois 12th 1.17 Alabama sixth zero.78
Texas 33rd 1.17 New York 13th zero.77
Iowa 2nd 1.17 Missouri 4th zero.77
Washington fifth 1.17 New York 15th zero.77
Utah 2nd 1.16 California 2nd zero.76
Alaska at giant 1.16 New York eighth zero.74
Texas 29th 1.15 New York 14th zero.73
Maine 1st 1.15 Illinois seventh zero.72
Oregon 2nd 1.15 Pennsylvania third zero.72
